Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.974041 1.111469 1.261142 1.436231 1.635435 1.855029 2.115493
2025-02-23 0.737714 0.919554 1.135309 1.410111 1.750851 2.159592 2.687445
2025-03-02 0.609853 0.808770 1.059386 1.398190 1.844349 2.412092 3.190160
2025-03-09 0.527697 0.736210 1.012129 1.403756 1.945452 2.668775 3.709267
2025-03-16 0.465442 0.678590 0.972913 1.408700 2.037720 2.913432 4.227134
2025-03-23 0.418579 0.634830 0.945051 1.422096 2.137435 3.171174 4.781243
2025-03-30 0.368665 0.579736 0.893298 1.392504 2.167679 3.326795 5.195220
2025-04-06 0.327062 0.531880 0.846181 1.362922 2.191725 3.470848 5.599351
2025-04-13 0.288135 0.483582 0.792768 1.316681 2.182879 3.559927 5.920701
2025-04-20 0.279181 0.482555 0.813549 1.390439 2.371616 3.975151 6.801659
2025-04-27 0.269178 0.478463 0.828387 1.454810 2.549248 4.385387 7.708334
2025-05-04 0.258518 0.471954 0.838124 1.510582 2.715954 4.789380 8.637236
2025-05-11 0.243018 0.455768 0.830357 1.536212 2.834546 5.124794 9.483933
2025-05-18 0.220919 0.425418 0.794756 1.508503 2.855008 5.289510 10.039486
2025-05-25 0.203414 0.401778 0.768897 1.495755 2.900708 5.501666 10.698492
2025-06-01 0.190200 0.384952 0.753942 1.501706 2.981161 5.782894 11.510016
2025-06-08 0.178176 0.369227 0.739516 1.506993 3.060068 6.066423 12.348769
2025-06-15 0.168278 0.356775 0.730231 1.521317 3.157466 6.392510 13.298373
2025-06-22 0.154381 0.334713 0.699755 1.489675 3.158629 6.527654 13.870920
2025-06-29 0.141814 0.314236 0.670644 1.458044 3.156554 6.655058 14.436600
2025-07-06 0.128761 0.291457 0.634712 1.408599 3.112168 6.690911 14.810090
2025-07-13 0.128176 0.296074 0.657269 1.487467 3.350588 7.338489 16.557788
2025-07-20 0.126581 0.298249 0.674653 1.556296 3.572546 7.967940 18.317921